Published Date 4/8/2024
For the past few years, fears of a recession have been fickle, teasing us at every turn. Despite its low-rumble threat, however, unemployment remains low — both very good and very bad for the housing market.
Realtor.com’s Claire Trapasso and the U.S. labor market say 300,000 more jobs were added in March, bringing the unemployment rate down to 3.8%. “A low unemployment rate is good for the housing market because most people don’t buy homes if they’re unemployed—or worry they’re about to be laid off,” she says. “However, it also means the U.S. Federal Reserve may hold off cutting interest rates for a little longer as it tries to bring inflation down to its 2% target.” The result? Mortgage rates are not expected to go down any time soon.
Realtor's chief economist Danielle Hales says it’s a mixed bag. “The weaker the labor market appears, the more likely we’ll see rate cuts sooner. But the more likely it is people will struggle to find jobs and not be interested in making large purchases like homes.”
While rates appear theoretically low (one generation recalls them in double digits), they are far from rates many homebuyers—already dealing with high prices and fierce competition over a limited supply of homes on the market—had been dreaming of this spring.
The mid-Atlantic’s Bright MLS Chief Economist Lisa Sturtevant said, “Some had been hoping that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at its June meeting,” in a statement. “However, with today’s strong jobs report, it is all but certain that the first rate-cut won’t be before July. As a result, mortgage rates are likely going to stay elevated for longer” — something that poses a challenge for buyers as the housing market kicks off in earnest.
“Homebuyer demand is still strong, but there will be some prospective homebuyers who are going to wait for rates to come down later this year,” Sturtevant said. “The traditionally busy spring housing market could be pushed into summer—or even into the fall—if buyers hold out for the Fed’s rate cut and subsequent drops in mortgage rates.”
Those who do wait? There is a good possibility they might find more homes available to purchase after more than 39,000 people were hired in the construction industry in March. That may translate into more homes going up at a time when they are desperately needed.
“More housing supply is on the way in future months,” Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, said in a statement.
Realtor,TBWS
All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.
Bank statement for Self Employed are our Specialty! JUMBO LOANS at Amazing rates!
NMLS: 914312
Jackie Barikhan - Summit Lending
17011 Beach Boulevard Suite 1100, Huntington Beach, CA CA 92647
Company NMLS: 914312
Office: 949-855-0760
Cell: 949-600-0944
Email: jackie@mylenderjackie.com
NMLS: 914312
Cell: 949-600-0944
10/31/2024
The October Challenger Job Cuts fell from 73K down to 56K. Initial Weekly Jobles... view more
10/30/2024
Seems like a no-brainer to get a home ready to list when the weather is fine, th... view more
10/28/2024
When northern California homeowner...... view more
10/28/2024
These are the three areas that have the greatest ability to impact rates this we... view more
10/25/2024
Did you know that in Scotland, a house with a red door signifies the owner has p... view more
10/25/2024
A quiet open this morning, the 10 year note at 4.20% -1 bp; UMBS price at 8:30 a... view more
10/24/2024
Continuing Jobless Claims hit a 3 YEAR HIGH at 1.897M which Initial Weekly Joble... view more
10/23/2024
Choosing the perfect wood or wood-look flooring for your home doesn't have to fe... view more