Self-avowed long-term renters, millennials became big time homeowners during the pandemic

___

Published Date 4/17/2023

The American Dream became possible for many a millennial over the last decade according to The HilI’s, Adam Barnes, who describes them as a homeowner-majority generation.

This milestone was achieved amid a global pandemic and an unsteady housing market when the country’s largest generation added millions to the homeowner ranks. Their numbers reached 18.2 million owners last year, according to recent data from the listing website RentCafe.

Composed of Americans born between 1981 and 1996, millennials reached this hallmark later than both their parents and grandparents when their average age was 34. Comparatively speaking, Generation X and baby boomers achieved this feat at ages 32 and 33 respectively.

“There was a long-standing belief that millennials never wanted to own and were perfectly content renting. That belief has proven to be false. The reality was — millennials were simply delaying big life moments compared to prior generations,” Zonda chief economist Ali Wolf told The Hill.

“This is because of a combination of reasons, including more women entering the labor force and having children later, delayed marriage, and student loan debt,” Wolf added.

Those who waited, however, now find themselves facing a nagging lack of housing stock, stubbornly high home prices, volatile mortgage rates, and growing inflation. To boot, these younger buyers are also competing against some older buyers who’ve amassed substantial equity through previous home purchases, all while the average cost of a first mortgage is soaring, according to Barnes.

“Although mortgage rates are falling from their peak at more than 7 percent, they remain drastically higher than they were during the pandemic housing boom when rates hit record lows,” he says, adding that the average loan balance for first mortgages went to $323,780 in 2022 from $298,324 a year earlier, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Data from the National Association of Realtors revealed that baby boomers (born between 1946 and 1964), made up the biggest share of homebuyers last year (with many using the equity in their existing homes to purchase their next homes) while the millennial share declined from the previous year. “Especially for baby boomers, if they’re downsizing, they may be able to take the equity out of their home and take the next home in cash — and then the interest rate doesn’t matter,” Redfin’s Daryl Fairweather told The Hill.

“At the same time, first-time homebuyers were instead left trying to amass a larger amount of funds in an economic environment where prices were rising rapidly on everything from rents to groceries,” Realtor.com's Danielle Hale told Barnes.

“Persistent lack of housing is also hindering millennials’ ability to find their first home. This is due partly to years of under-building following the 2008 financial crisis and housing crash, the end of which coincided with millennials forming their own households,” Barnes reports.

Millennials did have some help in the form of interrupted student loan payments during the pandemic. Approximately 15 million millennials hold student debt, the largest number among all generations, according to figures from the Education Data Initiative. On average, they owe more than $33,000 per borrower.

Barnes reminds us that the Biden administration has said payments will resume after the Supreme Court rules on a lawsuit brought against his administration’s forgiveness program or 60 days after June 30. Wolf adds, “Millennial student debt holders could theoretically afford homes and take on monthly mortgage payments. But the upfront costs of home-buying, including down payments and closing costs, create another set of issues."

“With a student loan pause, I think some [younger buyers] were optimistic that that wouldn’t be something hanging over their heads anymore, and that that would give them the opportunity to afford a mortgage,” Fairweather said.

“But even if student loan debt was forgiven, what would happen is that more people would be able to buy a home and that would drive up home prices because it’d be more demand for homes,” she added. “Prices really always come back to the lack of supply.”

The Hill, TBWS

All information furnished has been forwarded to you and is provided by thetbwsgroup only for informational purposes. Forecasting shall be considered as events which may be expected but not guaranteed. Neither the forwarding party and/or company nor thetbwsgroup assume any responsibility to any person who relies on information or forecasting contained in this report and disclaims all liability in respect to decisions or actions, or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report.

All loans are subject to credit approval. Interest rates are subject to change daily and without notice. Current interest rates shown our indicative of market conditions and individual qualifications and will vary upon your lock-in period, occupancy, loan type, credit score, purpose and loan to value and lending source. Income and mortgage proctection producst are subject to client's suitability and affordability (DOI Lic# 4334805).