Consumer sentiment declines in latest reports

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Published Date 5/10/2024

Yesterday rates got a boost on weekly jobless claims hitting a nine-month high and the 30 year bond auction met with strong demand. The 10 year note -4 bps, MBS prices +18 bps. This morning the 10 at 9 am +3 bps and MBS prices -15 bps. This week the economic calendar was almost non-existent, weekly claims yesterday and this morning the University of Michigan consumer sentiment report at 10 am ET.

The economy, based on a couple of recent reports, is slowing. Both the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index and the final April University of Michigan sentiment index showed a marked decline in consumers’ thinking. A little more than anecdotal but neither have inflation reports. That comes next Tuesday and Wednesday when April PPI (Tuesday) and CPI (Wednesday). Next week’s calendar has a lot of key data after this week’s lack of news and treasuries trading in narrow ranges.

At 9:30 am the DJIA opened +95, NASDAQ +34, S&P +13. 10 year at 9:30 am 4.49% +3 bps. FNMA 6.0 30 year coupon -13 bps from yesterday’s close and +13 bps from 9:30 am yesterday; the 6.5 coupon -9 bps from yesterday’s close and+9 bps from 9:30 am yesterday.

At 10 am the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index thought to be at 77.0 from 77.2 two weeks ago, the index dropped to 67.4. More evidence that consumers are getting edgy.

This afternoon at 2 pm Treasury will report the April deficit, expected at -$236.0B unchanged from March.

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Source: TBWS

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